UFC Fight Night 150 Fight Pass Prelim Predictions

UFC Fight Night 150 Fight Pass Prelim Predictions

155lbs- Jim Miller (29-13-0 1NC) vs Jason Gonzalez (11-4-0)

31-fight UFC veteran Jim Miller attempts to turn back the clock against the returning Jason Gonzalez. Miller suffered a submission loss in a rematch against Charles Oliveira- he has just a single win in his last 6-fights. Gonzalez earned a win in his second UFC outing, but suffered stoppage losses to Drew Dober and Gregor Gillespie in his other 2 contests.

Miller is 6-years older than Gonzalez who has not seen the inside of the Octagon in roughly 19-months. Gonzalez is the taller man by 6-inches, but he will have just a 3-inch reach advantage.

Over his career, Miller has faced elite level competition over 11-years. Conversely, Gonzalez has had roughly 1 noteworthy sequence, catching J.C. Cottrell with a D’arce choke after being on the defensive.

Gonzalez has either been finished or finished his opponent in all fights- 7 of 11 wins by submission. Of his last 10 fights, only 2 have gone beyond the first round.

The best attribute of Jimmy has been his submission game. In his most recent victory, he scored an early knockdown before locking in the RNC. Miller has 15 career submission wins with his trio of losses coming against top-level grapplers.

Miller has always been tough, but he has started to show more damage over his career. Suffering back to back finish defeats.

Gonzalez is the bigger and younger man, but the layoff and his questionable durability are major concerns. Miller is still a talented grappler and is taking a sizeable step back in competition from recent opposition. Look for Jim to utilize his low calf kick to throw off the balance of Gonzalez and set up his hands and eventual takedown attempts. Either via knockdown or takedown, Jim will get Gonzalez horizontal- my prediction is Jim Miller to defeat Jason Gonzalez by submission.

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115lbs- Angela Hill (8-6-0) vs Jodie Esquibel (6-4-0)

Former Invicta FC champion Angela “Overkill” Hill takes on Jodie Esquibel in the Strawweight division. Hill is coming off a tough submission loss to Randa Markos and has struggled to a 2-5 mark in her 2nd UFC stint. Esquibel is winless in 2 UFC fights, including a decision loss Jessica Aguilar in her last fight.

Hill is the taller fighter by 2 inches, but they share a 64″ reach. Hill is replacing Jessica Penne on just one week’s notice and just a month removed from her last fight. Angela is a year older than Esquibel.

Both fighters have spent the majority of their successful Octagon time on the feet. Hill would be the more likely to hit the floor as she has completed a couple of takedowns in recent action.

Neither girl has a submission win, but they have a combined 3 losses on the mat.

Esquibel comes from a boxing background, but she has just a single win by knockout and has struggled with the output of her opponents.

Conversely, Hill’s greatest strength has been her volume. Her movement and output have improved significantly and she had surpassed the century mark in strikes over her last 3 fights prior to the Markos’ loss.

More concerning for Esquibel has been her struggles in decisions. She is 5-3 on the cards, but 3 of her 5 wins have come by split decision. She has given up over 120-significant strikes in each of her UFC bouts.

This fight should largely be contested on the feet, but as mentioned Hill could mix in a takedown if wanted. Esquibel lacks significant power and her offensive output and defensive work is simply not where it needs to be. Hill’s movement and work rate will be too much for her adversary to keep up to- my prediction is Angela Hill to defeat Jodie Esquibel by decision.

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170lbs- Court McGee (20-6-1) vs Dhiego Lima (15-7-0)

The opening fight of the night features a pair of experienced veterans as TUF 11 winner Court “The Crusher” McGee meets TUF 19 and 25 finalist Dhiego Lima. Lima is coming off a knockout win over Chad Laprise, his first UFC victory since late 2014. McGee snapped a 2-fight skid with a decision win over Alex Garcia, he is 8-6 in the UFC.

Lima is 3 inches taller than Court, but McGee will have a 1″ reach advantage. Lima is the younger fighter by 5-years.

McGee’s success has primarily come from his volume striking attack and overall work ethic. That being said he has not put up as much volume in recent action as he did in the early stages of his career.

The win for Lima over Laprise was his 4th career knockout win and first stoppage win in almost 5-years.

Dhiego has struggled with 2 key areas; durability and pressure. Opponents have exploited these factors together, resulting in 4 stoppage defeats and 5 overall.

Over 26 career fights, Court has been finished just once, but he has worn more damage in recent outings.

“The Crusher” has opted to employ his wrestling more frequently and with success. He has completed 11 takedowns over his last 5 wins. Lima has relinquished 8 takedowns over his last 2 losses.

If Lima can’t crack the solid chin of his opponent, he is going to be hard-pressed to get his hand raised. McGee’s striking volume combined with well-timed takedowns and top control will put him ahead on the cards. Dhiego’s shaky chin could put Court in a position to score a finish, especially once the volume starts to add up- my prediction is Court McGee to defeat Dhiego Lima by TKO.

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