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Kamikaze Overdrive Premium Bet Pack

Parlays & Single Bets

Depending on your betting style, you can select the Hardcore Betting Cluster which employs a betting strategy focussed on straight and 2-leg parlays that limit the risk and offer a decent return based on your financial commitment. If you are willing to take a little more risk and aren’t interested in putting as much cash in play, but still want a shot at a big return- then the Casual Betting Cluster is for you. Playing both of these strategies together is not recommended.

Hardcore Betting Cluster (HBC)

Gold Plays

BET #1
+ Cody Stamann	to Win	+110
		ODDS:	+110
		BET:	8u
		RETURN:	16.8u

BET #2
+ Ricardo Ramos	to Win	-163
+ Calvin Kattar	to Win	-334
		ODDS:	+110
		BET:	6u
		RETURN:	12.58u

Silver Plays

BET #1
+ Molly McCann	to Win	-110
		ODDS:	-110
		BET:	5u
		RETURN:	9.55u

BET #2
+ Jared Gordon	to Win	-150
+ Tim Elliott	to Win	-125
		ODDS:	+200
		BET:	4u
		RETURN:	12u

Bronze Plays

BET #1
+ Diana Belbita	to Win	-163
		ODDS:	-163
		BET:	3u
		RETURN:	4.84u

BET #2
+ Kenneth Bergh	to Win	-160
+ Modestas Bukauskas	to Win	-225
		ODDS:	+135
		BET:	3u
		RETURN:	7.04u

Wildcard Plays

BET #1
+ Alhassan/Lazzez	Total Rounds Under 1.5	-170
+ Modestas Bukauskas	to Win by TKO/KO	+100
		ODDS:	+218
		BET:	4u
		RETURN:	12.71u

BET #2
+ Jack Shore	to Win by Submission	-105
+ Bergh/ Gonzalez	Total Rounds Under 1.5	-135
		ODDS:	+240
		BET:	4u
		RETURN:	13.59u

BET #3
+ Cody Stamann	to Win	+110
+ Molly McCann	to Win	-110
+ Ricardo Ramos	to Win	-163
		ODDS:	+547
		BET:	3u
		RETURN:	19.41u

Casual Betting Cluster (CBC)

Gold Plays

BET #1
+ Cody Stamann	to Win	+110
+ Ricardo Ramos	to Win	-163
+ Calvin Kattar	to Win	-334
		ODDS:	+340
		BET:	10u
		RETURN:	44.03u

Silver Plays

BET #1
+ Molly McCann	to Win	-110
+ Jared Gordon	to Win	-150
+ Tim Elliott	to Win	-125
		ODDS:	+473
		BET:	7u
		RETURN:	40.09

Bronze Plays

BET #1
+ Diana Belbita	to Win	-163
+ Kenneth Bergh	to Win	-160
+ Modestas Bukauskas	to Win	-225
		ODDS:	+279
		BET:	5u
		RETURN:	18.94u

Wildcard Plays

BET #1
+ Alhassan/Lazzez	Total Rounds Under 1.5	-170
+ Modestas Bukauskas	to Win by TKO/KO	+100
+ Jack Shore	to Win by Submission	-105
+ Bergh/ Gonzalez	Total Rounds Under 1.5	-135
		ODDS:	+980
		BET:	5u
		RETURN:	53.98u

BET #2
+ Cody Stamann	to Win	+110
+ Jared Gordon	to Win	-150
+ Ricardo Ramos	to Win	-163
		ODDS:	+465
		BET:	6u
		RETURN:	33.88u

BET #3
+ Molly McCann	to Win	-110
+ Tim Elliott	to Win	-125
+ Diana Belbita	to Win	-163
+ Kenneth Bergh	to Win	-160
		ODDS:	+801
		BET:	6u
		RETURN:	54.06u

Draftkings Lineup

Lineup

+ Dan Ige	$7100
+ Cody Stamann	$7800
+ Abdul Razak Alhassan	$9200
+ Kenneth Bergh	$8700
+ Jared Gordon	$8300
+ Ricardo Ramos	$8800

Spares

+ Modestas Bukauskas	$8800
+
+
+

Betting Breakdowns

Calvin Kattar -334 vs Dan Ige +250

• Kattar has a number of significant edges in this fight, but there is not denying that Ige is tough.
• The line originally opened around -230 which made this a key play, but now it is more of a secondary bet.
• I still like Kattar here to augment my top plays, especially considering how many lesser-known fighters are on this card.
• Kattar gets the call for a Gold Play to be paired with Ricardo Ramos.

Prop Bet:

• No Play.

DK Lineup:

• Ige is a tough out, which makes it hard to back Kattar at such a high price despite his finishing skills.
• With so many big favs on the card and few dogs to choose from, Ige gets the call to our lineup.
• He will have 5 rounds to compile points with takedowns power strikes.
• He is also the type of fighter that if Kattar is off his game, Ige could come through for us.
• The best of the lower end options.
• Add him to the lineup

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Ryan Benoit +100 vs Tim Elliott -125

• Elliott’s style usually works on lower/middle-ranked opponents but his last performance left a lot to be desired.
• Benoit has had issues making weight under optimal conditions and doesn’t have a deep gas tank.
• He is also vulnerable to takedowns which is Tim’s forte.
• 74% of Tapology players picking Elliott and line is moving in our favour from a near -200 open.
• I know a lot of bettors that planned to fade Elliott after his last fight, this is the wrong spot.
• Tim is a Silver play.

Prop Bet:

• No Play.

DK Lineup:

• No Play.

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Jimmie Rivera -138 vs Cody Stamann +110

• I love the line here.
• At BW, I see Rivera with the ability to outwork Stamann who cuts a lot to make the division.
• At 145, Stamann looked good and Rivera will be putting on extra pounds for minimal gain.
• Cody is also turning around quickly while Rivera has been off for a prolonged period which favours Cody especially with the short notice.
• The line movement is minimal and of nearly 1000 picks on Tapology, 65% are favouring Stamann.
• #1 Gold play for Stamman.

Prop Bet:

• No Play.

DK Lineup:

• Stamann’s volume is good and his wrestling is solid.
• He is also the only underdog I am on so he needs to be included for budget reasons.
• Rivera has been hurt in multiple fights and finished by Moraes, Stamann could do the same.
• Add him.

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Molly McCann -110 vs Taila Santos -110

• The shift on this line is crazy, with Molly opening around -300 and is now at even money.
• With 88% of 1000+ pickers backing McCann, combined with the movement- this is a solid pick.
• That being said, Santos has had little exposure at this level and while McCann has looked decent of late, she is still developing.
• I like her as a strong Silver Play.

Prop Bet:

• No Play.

DK Lineup:

• No play.

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Abdul Razak Alhassan -334 vs Mounir Lazzez +250

• This is an easy pass from SU perspective.
• Too many intangibles to consider here when looking at the line.
• No Play.

Prop Bet:

• Abdul Razak Alhassan/Mounir Lazzez Total Rounds Under 1.5 -170
• I looked at Alhassan by knockout and wasn’t happy with the line.
• This play keeps both fighters striking skills in play.
• Both guys are 1st round finishers, but we get an extra half round to sort it out.
• If you want a bigger taste, Alhassan Wins in Round 1 @ -105 is worth a look.

DK Lineup:

• With all his wins coming by knockout in round 1, Alhassan is an easy fighter to include.
• His opponent is a capable striker, but also taking a big step up in competition.
• Add him.

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John Phillips +250 vs Khamzat Chimaev -334

• Phillips has knockout power and Chimaev is green.
• That is enough by itself to pass.
• No Play.

Prop Bet:

• See the Betting Scenario Section.

DK Lineup:

• No Play.

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Chris Fishgold +125 vs Jared Gordon -150

• Gordon is moving back down to FW where he is 2-0 and has looked good.
• It is possible that the benefits of not cutting were outweighed by the larger/ more impactful strikers at LW.
• Fishgold can sit down on his punches, but he doesn’t have a great track record of knockout wins.
• He will also engage Gordon in the high paced fight that Gordon wants to push.
• Gordon will outwork him on the feet and should be able to hold his own on the mat.
• The line movement has not been in our favour, but isn’t too drastic.
• Silver Play for Gordon.

Prop Bet:

• No Play.

DK Lineup:

• Gordon works at pretty solid pace and will look for the finish as well.
• Fishgold has been finished in both of his UFC defeats.
• At $8300, he is reasonably affordable.
• Add him.

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Lerone Murphy +137 vs Ricardo Ramos -163

• Murphy got a good deal in his first fight with an opponent coming off a massive layoff that gassed in super hot conditions.
• It allowed him to get a split draw versus a decent opponent, that is helping the line here.
• Ramos has the ability to exploit his shaky TDD and capable of holding his own on the feet.
• Solid return on Ramos- Gold Play.

Prop Bet:

• No Play.

DK Lineup:

• Ramos is a proven finisher which is what we are looking for.
• Even if he can’t get the stoppage, a multitude of takedowns augmented by striking will do the trick.
• Add him.

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Modestas Bukauskas -225 vs Andreas Michailidis +187

• This should be a fun fight with a lot of action early.
• The line has moved some and -225 is on the better end of it.
• With 2 debut LHWs you want to limit your exposure here.
• Bronze play.

Prop Bet:

• Modestas Bukauskas to Win by TKO/KO +100
• Bukauskas has a knockout heavy record and is facing.
• Michailidis has been knocked out 3-times and has a limited gas tank.
• That is enough for me.

DK Lineup:

• Add Bukauskas in as a spare and use him to vary your lineups in place of Alhassan.
• As mentioned above, I feel like he should get the finish- but it might not be as quick as our #1 option.

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Diana Belbita -163 vs Liana Jojua +137

• We were getting a better number at the start, around -140, but this is still playable.
• Belbita seems like the more assertive fighter, even in her defeat.
• This is a bout where both girls are still new and we are figuring out how they hold up at this level.
• Belbita outworks her for the majority of the fight
• Bronze play.

Prop Bet:

• No Play.

DK Lineup:

• No Play.

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Aaron Phillips +550 vs Jack Shore -800

• This line is crazy considering Shore has 1 UFC fight.
• Phillips has fought pretty low-level opponents to get back to this level.
• He is also vulnerable to the skill set that Shore offers.
• Still, an easy No Play.

Prop Bet:

• See the Betting Scenario Section.

DK Lineup:

• Shore is simply too expensive in an already expensive lineup.
• If you can make him work, you should.

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Kenneth Bergh -160 vs Jorge Gonzalez +130

• This is an odd last-second fight between a first-round knockout artist and a first-round submission artist.
• I am not sure if these guys are UFC ready, but it will be fun.
• Gonzalez is vulnerable to getting taken down and if Burgh can do that in round 1 he either wins or tires him out and subs him in R2.
• (If Gonzalez lands with power Bergh is vulnerable to that.
• Bergh was a near -200 fav at the open so we are getting some value here.
• Bronze Play on Bergh.

Prop Bet:

• See the Betting Scenario Section.

DK Lineup:

• If Bergh wins it will almost certainly be by submission inside the first 7-8 minutes or less.
• High likelihood of a round 1 finish.
• He is also more affordable than other finishers.
• Add him.

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Confidence List

1. Jack Shore -800

2. Calvin Kattar -334

3. Ricardo Ramos -163

4. Cody Stamann +110

5. Modestas Bukauskas -225

====================

6. Jared Gordon -150

7. Abdul Razak Alhassan -334

8. Tim Elliott -125

9. Molly McCann -110

10. Khamzat Chimaev -334

11. Diana Belbita -163

12. Kenneth Bergh -160

13.

Value Bet List

1. Cody Stamann +110

2. Molly McCann -110

3. Ricardo Ramos -163

4. Jared Gordon -150

5. Tim Elliott -125

Counter Bets

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2.

3.

4.

5.

Betting Scenario

Scenario Breakdowns

The section will always be a work in progress, as I hopefully continue to find different scenarios that produce consistent winners. Click the names below to read each scenario’s explanation.

UFC 214: Cormier vs Jones 2
C. Daniel Cormier		CTRY.		#1 Jon Jones
	19-1	REC	22-1
	4W	STREAK	13W
	+230	ODDS	-245
	205	WEIGHT	205
	5'11"	HEIGHT	6'4"
	72.5"	REACH	84.5"
	38	AGE	30
COUNTDOWN TO UFC 214 [circularcountdown task="update" startDate="2017/07/22 00:00:00" endDate="2017/07/29 22:00:00" timeZone="-4" past="false" margin="5" onFinish="function(){}" type="" showDay="true" showHour="true" showMinute="true" showSecond="true" dayDiameter="60" hourDiameter="60" minuteDiameter="60" secondDiameter="60" dayBgWidth="8" hourBgWidth="8" minuteBgWidth="8" secondBgWidth="8" dayCircleWidth="8" hourCircleWidth="8" minuteCircleWidth="8" secondCircleWidth="8" dayBgColor="#2e2e2e" hourBgColor="#2e2e2e" minuteBgColor="#2e2e2e" secondBgColor="#2e2e2e" dayCircleColor="#ffff00" hourCircleColor="#ffff00" minuteCircleColor="#ffff00" secondCircleColor="#ffff00" dayCounterFontSize="12" hourCounterFontSize="12" minuteCounterFontSize="12" secondCounterFontSize="12" dayTextFontSize="7" hourTextFontSize="7" minuteTextFontSize="7" secondTextFontSize="7" dayCounterFontColor="#ffffff" hourCounterFontColor="#ffffff" minuteCounterFontColor="#ffffff" secondCounterFontColor="#ffffff" dayTextFontColor="#ffffff" hourTextFontColor="#ffffff" minuteTextFontColor="#ffffff" secondTextFontColor="#ffffff" dayText="DAYS" hourText="HOURS" minuteText="MIN." secondText="SEC." dayTextMarginTop="0" hourTextMarginTop="0" minuteTextMarginTop="0" secondTextMarginTop="0"]

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EPU Candidate(s)

1. Jack Shore to Win by Submission -105

Phillips can be taken down and Shore is going to do that a lot. Once on the mat, Shore loves to move to back control and set up his RNC. My only real concern here is that Shore opts for some GNP to get a finish.

2. Kenneth Bergh/Jorge Gonzalez Total Rounds Under 1.5 -135

Both fighters come out looking for the finish from the onset of the fight, Bergh by sub and Jorge by knockout- I struggle to believe one of them won’t get it by the 7:30 mark. Let’s do it!

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FPO Candidate

1. John Phillips/Khamzat Chimaev

There is just a lot about this fight that makes me not want to get invested. Let’s stick with that instinct. Pass.

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HEF Candidate(s)

1. Ryan Benoit +100 vs Tim Elliott -125

2. Jimmie Rivera -138 vs Cody Stamann +110

3. Molly McCann -110 vs Taila Santos -110

4. Chris Fishgold +125 vs Jared Gordon -150

5. Lerone Murphy +137 vs Ricardo Ramos -163

6. Diana Belbita -163 vs Liana Jojua +137

7. Kenneth Bergh -160 vs Jorge Gonzalez +130

Scott Johnson

Starting in 2010, Scott began posting UFC and NFL predictions videos on youtube under the name Kamikaze Overdrive MMA Predictions. Eventually, MMA became his main focus and as the channel’s popularity grew Kamikaze Overdrive eventually expanded to include a website. Scott has worked for various MMA and Sports betting information sites and now posts UFC Predictions, Betting Breakdowns, and Content along with other sports-related betting information.