UFC Fight Night 160: Hermansson vs Cannonier | Preliminary Predictions

UFC Fight Night 160: Hermansson vs Cannonier | Preliminary Predictions

185lbs- Alen Amedovski (8-1-0) vs John Phillips (21-9-0)

The final undercard fight stands to be an absolute barn burner as Macedonia knockout artist Alen Amendovski meets “The Welsh Wrecking Machine” John Phillips in the Middleweight division. Amedovski dropped his debut by decision to Krysztof Jotko, blemishing his perfect record. Phillips is winless in 3 UFC fights, but he is coming off a hard-fought split decision loss to Jack Marshman.

Phillips is an inch taller and will have an inch of reach on Amedovski. The Macedonian is 3-years younger.

With 18 wins by knockout, Phillips’ approach is both fan-friendly and flawed. He has finished 17 of his 21 wins in the opening round compared to a 4-3 record outside of the first. John is a scrapper but struggled at times to pull the trigger against Marshman and lost a narrow fight that was contested on the feet.

Over his first 2 UFC defeats, Phillips was taken down multiple times and suffered submission losses #4 and 5.

Amendovski opening round knockout heavy record also succumbed to a grappling heavy attack, with Jotko grinding him into the floor over the course of 15 minutes. Alen landed just 6 significant strikes while giving up 4 takedowns. Defending takedowns should not be an issue against Phillips.

He showcased his power during a successful 2-fight stint in Bellator, stopping his opponents in a combined 1:52.

For however long this fight lasts, it should be fun. Amedovski is younger, quicker, and more technical. He also could opt to mix in some grappling against an incredibly ground deficient opponent. Phillips has been knocked out twice and was hurt by Holland, Amedovski should be able to hur the Welshman too- my prediction is Alen Amedovski to defeat John Phillips by knockout.

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185lbs- Alessio Di Chirico (12-3-0) vs Makhmud Muradov (22-6-0)

In the Middleweight division, Makhmud Muradov makes his promotional debut when he takes on Italy’s Alessio Di Chirico. Di Chirico dropped a decision to Kevin Holland to see his UFC record fall to 3-3. Muradov has won 11 straight fights including an impressive 4-0 mark in 2019 with wins over a couple of UFC veterans.

Murado is 2-inches taller to go along with a 1″ reach advantage. He is also a year younger than Di Chirico.

With 18 finishes, including 15 wins- Muradov offers an action-based attack. He melds together an active striking game with his takedowns and he has shown the ability to finish anywhere the fight goes.

Muradov is replacing Peter Sobotta on less than 2-weeks notice.

Di Chirico keeps his offensive output simple. He throws primarily single strikes with a steady, but far from overwhelming output. His wrestling is serviceable, but not dominant. He has landed takedowns in all but 1 of his UFC fights, but he is just 3-2 when completing a takedown.

Alessio carries a 3-2 record on the scorecards, including a pair of split decision wins in the UFC.

Muradov is a dangerous fighter, but he is taking a big step up in competition on short notice. His all-action style could get him a finish, but he also tends to rely on big moments that might be harder to obtain at this level. If he is unable to hurt Di Chirico, look for the Italian’s offense to be more consistent and impactful. Once Murado starts to slow, Alessio will pull away- my prediction is Alessio Di Chirico to defeat Makhmud Muradov by decision.

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170lbs- Siyar Bahadurzada (24-7-1) vs Ismail Naurdiev (18-3-0)

Afghanistan’s Siyar “The Great” Bahadurzada prepares to take on the “Austrian Wonderboy” Ismail Naurdiev in the Welterweight division. Bahadurzada’s 3-fight winning streak came to an end against Curtis Millender, dropping a wide decision. Naurdiev had also won 3 in a row including an upset of Michel Prazeres in his debut- he most recently was defeated by Chance Rencountre in another significant upset.

Bahadurzada is an inch taller than Naurdiev, but he will give up an inch of reach. Ismail is 12-years younger.

Naurdiev is a capable striker, offering a wide array of offensive techniques. Unfortunately, Rencountre exploited a significant area of vulnerability, dragging Ismail to the floor on multiple occasions and keeping him on his back.

“The Austrian Wonderboy” has finished 16 of his 18 wins- 11 by knockout. He has recorded 13 wins in the first frame, but is just 2-2 in decisions.

A lack of activity has prevented Bahadurzada from finding much momentum in the UFC. He has been out for nearly 10-months. Siyar is a dangerous puncher, but his lack of variety and subpar gas tank have hampered his performances when he can’t score an early finish.

Similar to his opponent, Siyar has finished 20 opponents, 13 by knockout, compared to a 4-5 mark in decisions.

Naurdiev was unable to overcome the wrestling of his last opponent. Conversely, Bahadurzada landed 3 takedowns in his last fight, but failed to do enough against a striker with a clear vulnerability on the mat. Ismail is the more diverse striker and should have a speed and cardio advantage. Unless Siyar finds unexpected success with his wrestling or can hurt Naurdiev, he will struggle to keep up with the Austrian- my prediction is Ismail Naurdiev to defeat Siyar Bahadurzada by decision.

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145lbs- Brandon Davis (10-5-0) vs Giga Chikadze (7-2-0)

After a 1-1 stint at Bantamweight, Brandon “Killer B” Davis returns to Featherweight to take on the debuting Giga Chikadze of Georgia. Davis is coming off of a split decision loss to Kyung Ho Kang after a submission win over Randy Costa. Chikadze has won back to back fights after an unsuccessful bid on Dana’s Tuesday Night Contenders Series.

Chikadze is the taller man by 2-inches, but they share the same 72″ reach. Davis is the younger man by 2-years.

Breaking down Chikadze’s record; all 7 of his wins have come under the Gladiator Challenge banner- an organization that is notorious for setting up lobsided fights. Not surprisingly, his 7 opponents carry a combined record of 3-65.

He has finished all 7 of his wins in the first round, 4 inside the opening 60-seconds, and 5 by knockout. Both of his defeats went to round 3. As a kickboxer, he carries a 38-6-0 record.

Davis is an aggressive, durable, and gritty fighter. He has struggled at times with opponents that don’t want to engage him in a standing brawl. Further, his adversaries have found success landing multiple takedowns which won’t be an issue here.

Davis is 2-0 when his foe land 1 or fewer completions.

Giga is a capable kickboxer with a nice array of kicks, but he lacks any quality MMA experience. He struggled significantly with the ground attack of his Contenders Series opponent and his first-round finish heavy record is a massive red flag. Davis had some issues with the kicking attack of Costa, but wisely got the fight to the floor and took over. He will replicate that approach here. Davis drags Chikadze into deep waters and drowns him- my prediction is Brandon Davis to defeat Giga Chikadze by submission.

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135lbs- #11 Macy Chiasson (5-0-0) vs #12 Lina Lansberg (9-4-0)

TUF 28 winner Macy Chiasson looks to continue her torrid start to her UFC career when she takes on Sweden’s Lina Lansberg in the Women’s Bantamweight division. Chiasson is 3-0 in the UFC, finishing all 3 of her opponents including a TKO victory over Sarah Moras in her last fight. Lansberg secured a decision win over former Invicta champion Tonya Evinger to continue her pattern of alternating wins and losses over her 6-fight UFC run.

Macy will stand a full 4-inches taller than her opponent to go along with a 7″ reach advantage. She is also the younger fighter by 9-years.

Lansberg showcased her toughness against Cyborg in her debut, but overall she has now been finished by TKO on 3 separate occasions. She does the majority of her work on the feet, utilizing a clinch heavy assault.

Lina is coming off of her best overall performance but in the majority of her fight, she has struggled to match the vertical output of her foe.

Chiasson has started to turn some heads with her brutal finishing ability. She hits extremely hard and utilizes her size effectively. She survived a takedown from the ground orient Moras and was able to eventually overwhelm her with volume and power.

Defensively, Macy utilizes a strong sprawl and she is capable of translating defensive position into offensive opportunities with either GNP or sub attempts.

Lansberg is going to struggle to outmuscle the much larger and younger Chiasson which could force her to avoid the clinch position. Additionally, Lina has struggled when put on her back and Macy devastating top game will magnify those issues. No matter the position, Macy hits too hard and carries too steep of a pace for Lina to contend with- my prediction is Macy Chiasson to defeat Lina Lansberg by TKO.

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155lbs- Marc Diakiese (13-3-0) vs Lando Vannata (10-3-2)

A battle of multi-fight UFC veterans sees Marc “Bonecrusher” Diakiese take on “Groovy” Lando Vannata in the UFC Lightweight division. Diakiese scored a decision win over Joe Duffy to snap a 3-fight losing skid- he is 4-3 in the promotion. Vannata is also coming off a win after 0-2-2 stretch that nearly knocked him from the promotion.

Diakiese is an inch taller and will have a 2″ reach advantage. He is the younger man by a year.

Against Duffy, Diakiese returned to his dynamic striking ways against Duffy. He looked fast with his hands and blasted the legs of Duffy, clearly damaging his base. He rocked Duffy with a beautiful step in elbow. He has struggled against more aggressive opposition, willing to force him backwards.

The cardio of Diakiese has not been great. He is just 2-3 over his last 5 3-round fights.

Lando is a multi-faceted fighter with a capable submission game and good striking. He has recorded 4 wins by knockout and 5 by submission. Against Bobby Green, he found success early and had Green in trouble until landing an illegal knee that stopped the fight and cost him a point. Vannata has also taken down each of his last 5 opponents.

Vannata has had issues with the aggression of his opponents, often allowing them to dictate the pace of the fight.

The American defeated an opponent in his last fight that should probably not be on the UFC roster. Diakiese’s last win was more impressive but came over an opponent coming off of a sizeable layoff. Diakiese’s cardio issues still exist and while Vannata has also had pacing issues, he is more capable of fighting a full 15-minutes than his foe. Look for Lando to utilize his wrestling early to slow Diakese down and take the fight over as the fight advances- my prediction is Lando Vannata to defeat Marc Diakiese by submission.

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135lbs- Jack Shore (11-0-0) vs Nohelin Hernandez (10-3-0)

In the first fight of the night, Jack “Tank” Shore debuts against promotional sophomore Nohelin “Suave” Hernandez in the Bantamweight division. Shore turned pro in 2016 and has gone undefeated including a 2018 decision win over Vaughan Lee. Hernandez made an unsuccessful venture into the Octagon with a submission loss to Marlon Vera in July.

Hernandez is the taller man by 2-inches but they have the same reach. Shore is a year younger.

While Shore has cut his teeth under the Cage Warriors banner, Hernandez has fought in a number of different organizations. Prior to coming to the UFC, Hernandez fought in Bellator, LFA, and Tachi Palace Fights.

Hernandez started strong, defending on the mat against Vera and doing work from top position. He moves well and offers a solid striking attack. He has just a trio of knockout wins, but he is a solid 6-1 on the scorecards. Prior to getting subbed he got cracked with a well-timed knee that put him on the floor.

The Welsh fighter has finished 10 of his 11 wins- 6 in the opening round. Shore secured the Cage Warriors Bantamweight title via knockout back in December of 2018 and submitted his foe in her first title defense. He has a solid back take, winning 5-times by rear-naked choke.

Shore also tends to be aggressive which has worked for him so far, but could become an issue as his quality of competition increases.

Shore’s submission game could capitalize on the issues that have seen Hernandez get subbed twice. The American did show solid defensive skills on the mat prior to getting hurt and tapped. Additionally, Hernandez took his debut on short notice and should be in a much better spot here. Hernandez looked good on the feet against Vera and should find success here as well. Shore’s success on the regional scene will give him a lot of momentum, but my prediction is Nohelin Hernandez to defeat Jack Shore by decision.

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