UFC Fight Night 147 Preliminary Predictions

UFC Fight Night 147 Preliminary Predictions

145lbs- Arnold Allen (13-1-0) vs Jordan Rinaldi (14-6-0)

Fresh off of his upset of Jason Knight, New York’s Jordan Rinaldi heads into enemy territory to battle the UK’s “Almighty” Arnold Allen in the Featherweight division. Allen is perfect in the UFC with a 4-pack of victories, most recently submitting Mads Burnell. Rinaldi is 2-2 inside the Octagon, but is coming off his biggest UFC win in a 3-round decision triumph over Knight.

At 5’10”, Rinaldi is 2 inches taller than Allen to go along with a 2″ reach advantage. Allen is the younger man by 7-years, but he has been on the shelf for 10-months.

The Brit is coming off a huge comeback win, scoring a late submission in a fight he was most likely behind in on the cards. It was the 4th submission win of his career and 2nd in the UFC.

Rinaldi has 8 career submission victories and put together a strong performance on the mat against Knight. He will most likely look for something similar in this matchup.

Jordan completed a trio of takedowns, 1 per round, and kept his opponent on the floor in a defensive position, including a prolong period of time on Knights’ back.

Arnold has found success on the feet in most of his fights, but he has struggled to remain vertical. Burnell took him down 6-times and Allen has given up 10 takedowns over his last 2 bouts.

After opening his UFC run at 155-pounds, Rinaldi made the cut to Featherweight with his cardio and physical strength holding up in a demanding fight.

Rinaldi used takedowns and top pressure to impressively neutralized the aggressive guard game of Knight. Juxtaposed, Arnold struggled with the well-timed takedowns of Burnell and looked frustrated and tired. He was able to pick up a comeback submission- the second time he has done that in his UFC run. Rinaldi is capable of replicating Allen’s previous struggles and has the size and experience to avoid a late charge- my prediction is Jordan Rinaldi to defeat Arnold Allen by decision.

155lbs- Marc Diakiese (12-3-0) vs Joe Duffy (16-3-0)

“Irish” Joe Duffy takes on Marc “Bonecrusher” Diakiese in a battle of talented European-based Lightweights. Diakiese started his UFC run 3-0 but has since suffered through a 3-fight losing streak that included a submission loss to Dan Hooker. Duffy has compiled a 4-2 record inside the Octagon, but he is coming off a TKO loss to James Vick.

Both men are 5’10” and share a 73″ reach. Diakiese is the younger many by 5-years. Duffy has not fought in 16-months.

Duffy is a well-rounded fighter that has only lost to top-ranked opposition. He comes from a boxing background and augments his vertical offence with a dangerous submission game.

“Irish” Joe has secured 10 wins by submission.

An explosive and dangerous striker, Diakiese knocked out 2 of his first 3 UFC opponents and 6 overall.

Similar to Duffy, “Bonecrusher” has done some decent work on the mat, including a 6 takedown performance in his only decision win in the UFC.

While Diakiese does his best work on the feet, he has a tendency to struggle when his opponents are able to force him backwards. Additionally, his cardio has cost him as he starts to slow down in drawn-out action.

Diakese has the power to put most opponents down if he can land flush, but that could be difficult here. Duffy is the more technical fighter on the feet both offensively and defensively. He will find success avoiding the bulk of Diakiese’s offence and will mix in some groundwork- my prediction is Joe Duffy to defeat Marc Diakiese by submission.

bs-[/V] Nicolae Negumereanu (9-0-0) vs Saparbek Safarov (8-2-0)

The debuting Romania Nicolae Negumereanu takes on Russia’s Saparbek Safarov in the Light Heavyweight division. Negumereanu is undefeated and went 2-0 in 2018 fighting under the RXF banner. Safarov has had rough run in the Octagon with a pair of defeats both coming via finish.

Safarov is an inch taller, but they share an equal 78″ reach. Negumereanu is the younger man by 8-years, but he is taking this fight on less than 2-weeks notice after Gokan Saki pulled out.

The Romanian has finished all 9 of his pro wins; 6 by knockout and 5 in the opening round.

Negumereanu’s recent regional opposition has been anything but solid, with his last 3 opponents carrying a combined record of 17-36.

Not to be outdone, Safaraov has never gone the distance with 6 of his 8 wins coming by knockout. He ended each of his first 7 wins inside the opening 5-minutes.

The Russian has been out of action for over 13-months.

An offense-first fighter, Saparbek moves forward behind powerful hooks and the sporadic kick. He has a tendency to get wild, but can do damage if he lands. Negumereanu will most likely oblige if this fight devolves into a brawl.

Negumereanu is debuting on short notice which is a significant concern. More concerning is his lack of high-level competition. While Safarov has not looked great in the UFC, he has faced better competition. Safarov hits and is pretty durable which could pose problems for a fighter that traditionally ends his fights quickly. This contest will most likely breakdown into a slugfest and Safarov will get the better of the exchanges- my prediction is Saparbek Safarov to defeat Nicolae Negumereanu by TKO.

185lbs- Tom Breese (11-1-0) vs Ian Heinisch (12-1-0)

After a successful Middleweight debut, Tom Breese looks to maintain his momentum against promotional sophomore Ian “The Hurricane” Heinisch. Breese finished Dan Kelly via TKO to rebound from the first loss of his pro career- he is 4-1 inside the Octagon. Heinisch stepped up to take on Cezar Ferreira and scored a victory on the cards to extend his winning streak to 4 straight.

At 6’3″, Breese will stand a full 4 inches taller than Ian but have just a single inch of reach on him. The Brit is the younger man by 3-years.

“The Hurricane” made his debut replacing Breese on short notice. For this fight, Breese was scheduled to face Alessio Di Chirico who withdrew and was replaced by the aforementioned Ferreira, who also pulled out in favour of Heinisch.

Heinisch secured the 4th knockout of his career in his Contenders fight. Against Cezar he leaned on his resiliency, consistently moving forward and breaking the Brazilian with pace and pressure.

Against Strickland, Breese slowed a little after a strong start and couldn’t match his opponent’s output. Moving up to Middleweight could avoid a similar downfall, but he wasn’t forced beyond round 1 against Kelly.

If Breese starts to slow, the American’s pace will be problematic.

The American is going to push Breese, but Tom is the more technically sound striker. Heinisch often launches forward with power punches, failing to set up his offence. Breese will find success attacking him on the outside and countering as he comes forward.

If Heinisch can score takedowns with regularity, he could provide just enough vertical offence to edge out a narrow decision. Conversely, Breese is a solid wrestler in his own right and Heinisch has had issues against opponents that look to take him down. Fighting at home with a full camp will aid the Brit who will offer a more consistent offensive package- my prediciton is Tom Breese to defeat Ian Heinisch by decision.

145lbs- Danny Henry (12-2-0) vs Dan Ige (10-2-0)

Scotlands’ Danny “The Hatchet” Henry looks to continue his perfect start inside the Octagon when he takes on Hawaii’s “Dynamite” Dan Ige in the Featherweight division. Henry holds wins over Daniel Teymur and Hakeem Dawodu- he has won 5 in a row. Ige debuted with a loss to Julio Arce but has since won a pair of fights to get back on track.

Henry is a full 5 inches taller than Ige to go along with a 2″ reach advantage. Ige is 3-years younger than “The Hatchet”.

A BJJ Black belt, Ige has put his ground skills to work in recent action. A combined 4 takedowns over 2 fights have produced a quick submission and decision win.

Ige struggled in his debut to find success with his takedowns and similar to that fight, Henry will want to force him to compete on the feet.

Henry does have 5 wins by submission, but he had some issues on the regional scene defending takedowns. He has yet to face a dedicate ground fighter in either of his UFC appearances.

The Scot has a decent striking repertoire and proved his durability in his debut, surviving the onslaught of his opponent and taking over as Teymur slowed down.

Henry hasn’t seen action in a year less a day come fight night.

Henry can operate on the mat, but that might be just enough to get himself in trouble. Ige has decent takedowns, but he is better in a scramble. If the Scot doesn’t disengage, he will most likely find himself in the inferior position. If Henry can keep this fight standing he could work his way to a decision, but Ige’s pressure won’t allow it- my prediction is Dan Ige to defeat Danny Henry by decision.

125lbs- Molly McCann (7-2-0) vs Priscila Cachoeira (8-1-0)

After a pair of unsuccessful debuts, promotional sophomores Molly “Meatball’ McCann and Priscila Cachoeira of Brazil square off in Flyweight division. McCann had won 6 in a row prior to her submission to Gillian Robertson at UFC Fight Night 130. Cachoeira faced now champion Valentina Shevchenko and was blown out on route to a middle round submission defeat.

Cachoeira is 3 inches taller than the Brit and will have a 3” reach advantage. “Meatball” is the younger fighter by 2-years.

Both girls carry similar records, with all their wins split between knockouts and decisions. Not surprisingly, their debut defeats came as a result of their opponents exploiting them on the mat.

McCann has finished 2 of her 4 knockouts in the opening frame. She is an aggressive striker carrying decent power in her left hand.

The Brazilian is equally, if not more aggressive and has found success overwhelming her opponents on the regional scene.

While Cachoeira has just a pair of first-round stoppages, her style has led to her slow down in more drawn out fights.

Neither fighter was able to showcase much of their skill in their debut and if either woman opts to try and exploit their adversaries’ ground game they could grind their way to a win. All indications are that this fight will be contested on the feet. McCann is the more technical striker and Cachoeira’s blind aggression will be difficult to maintain over 3-rounds. After some entertaining exchanges early, Molly pulls away in the 2nd and 3rd rounds- my prediction is Molly McCann to defeat Priscila Cachoeira by decision.

145lbs- Nad Narimani (12-2-0) vs Mike Grundy (11-1-0)

The opening fight of the night features 2-fight UFC veteran Nad Narimani taking on the debuting Mike Grundy in the Featherweight division. Narimani holds wins over Khalid Taha and Anderson dos Santos- both by decision. Grundy went 3-0 in 2017, most recently defeating UFC alumni Fernando Bruno- his only career defeat came in 2017 versus Damian Stasiak.

Narimani is an inch taller but Grundy will have a 2″ reach advantage. Grundy has not competed in 16-months.

Medaling at the Commonwealth games in Freestyle wrestling, Grundy has converted his skills to a successful takedown and submission-heavy MMA game.

He has finished 8 of 11 wins by submission- mainly by some form of choke.

In a similar fashion, Narimani has finished 5 opponents by submission and has leaned heavily on his takedown game in his 2 Octagon triumphs.

Nad has completed 7 of 16 takedown attempts.

In Narimani’s most recent outing he was forced to rely more on his striking and landed a respectable 84 significant strikes.

Grundy is a capable ground fighter, but his reliance on takedowns makes him a little too one-dimensional. If forced to exchange on the feet, Narimani should have the advantage over his fellow-countryman. The layoff and debut factors for Grundy can’t be discredited here either. Grundy might find some early success, but Nad will stifle the majority of his TDAs and work him over on the feet- my prediciton is [Body-1]Nad Narimani to defeat Mike Grundy by decision.[/Body_1]

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