Kamikaze Overdrive $5.00 Betting Pack

Thank you for purchasing the Kamikaze Overdrive $5.00 Betting Package for UFC on FOX 7

Event Specific Password: FOX_2013

Information will be posted closer to the event when the official odds are available

The compilation of betting information listed below is meant to be used as a guideline only.


UFC on FOX 7


Total Event Confidence Bets (1- Most Confident to Win outright)

1. Daniel Cormier $1.27

2. Benson Henderson $1.41

3. Joseph Benavidez $1.20

4. Chad Mendes $1.16

5. Jordan Mein $1.30

====================

6. M

7. Tim Means $2.36

8. Francis Carmont $1.77

9. Anthony Njokuani $1.65

10.

11. Clifford Starks $2.40

12. Hugo Viana $4.25


Top Value Bets for non-Predicted Winners (1- Greatest Value based on Betting odds & Ability to Win)

# Price Explanation
1. $5.15 I like my picks here so the non-winners list is going to be short. Elkins pays over $6.00 on some sites and that makes him worth a play. Mendes is arguably the best 145er no named Aldo, but if this becomes a kickboxing match then Elkins isn’t nearly as big an underdog.
2. Matt Brown $3.65 Mein looked like a wrecking machine against Miller, but this is still a tough fight for him. I think the two plays here are Mein by TKO/KO and then you could consider making a bet on Brown to win straight up. Either scenario happens and you come out a winner.
3. Ramsey Nijem $3.17 I think that Jury wins this fight, but Nijem I have softened a little bit on Ramsey since writing the original breakdown. I think he has the potential to be competitive, but still this is a bet only if you have extra bankroll left over after making your main bets.
4. No Play
5. No Play

The Value Bet list for non-predicted winners is a list of fighters ranked based on a combination of their ability to win their fight and the potential financial return you would receive if they win. These 5 fighters are the best betting options available of all of the fighters that I predicted to lose and although I fully endorse my own predicted winner I feel that giving this type of information is only fair to my followers as it gives them further insight into my opinion on each match-up.


Main Event

Benson Henderson $1.41 vs

A fight that has been a long time in making and represents 3 MMA organizations with the former WEC champ and current UFC champ fighting the Strikeforce champ. All we need is Michael Chandler to make this a triple threat match and we have all the top NA MMA orgs represented in the LW division. I felt Gil lost to Thomson, he looked uninspired at points during the fight and I feel that was a product of his waning interested in competing outside of the UFC. I remember back to how badly he thrashed Kawajiri right after it was announced that the UFC had bought Strikeforce and it was clear that he would eventually be competing in the Octagon. What I expected is a much more motivated Melendez in this fight, but I think that he will suffer from the combination of an adrenaline dump after the first round, the physicality of Henderson, and a pace that he is unable to match. Henderson’s value is dropping and for the most part is barely holding onto the $1.40 mark on just a couple of site. I think the play here is Henderson by TKO/KO paying out at $7.15. Henderson isn’t a big knockout guy, but the beating he put on Diaz was spectacular. Diaz survived because he is pretty good off his back and Henderson had to be mindful, but Gilbert isn’t and I fully expected to see him overwhelmed on the ground. I would say a single bet makes sense here, it pays out pretty big on even a small investment and with the huge return a bet on 4 fights main card based on my 4 picks would provide a massive payout.

Ben Henderson to Win by KO/TKO/DQ $7.15- This is a risky play, but I see potential that it hits. You could play it by itself or consider a play of Mein KO, Cormier Dec, Henderson TKO, and Thomson and have a shot at a huge return on small bet. $313.46 x your bet.

 


 

Leave a Comment