UFN 122: Bisping vs Gastelum- Bet Pack Review

 

Parlay Header

Depending on your betting style, you can select the Big Bank Roll Parlays which employs a betting strategy focussed on straight and 2-leg parlays that limit the risk and offer a decent return based on your financial commitment. If you are willing to take a little more risk and aren’t interested in putting as much cash in play, but still want a shot at a big return- then the Big Risk/ Big Reward Parlays are for you. Playing both of these strategies together is not recommended.

 

 

 

Draftkings Line up

===================================================
Kamikaze
===================================================
Fighter 1: Alex Caceres $8500 
Fighter 2: Chase Sherman $8000 
Fighter 3: Yan Xiaonan $7900 12379140591570510706dholler_ok_svg_med
Fighter 4: Bharat Kandare $7600 
Fighter 5: Cyril Asker $9200 12379140591570510706dholler_ok_svg_med
Fighter 6: Li Jingliang $8800 12379140591570510706dholler_ok_svg_med
===================================================
Salary Remaining:
 
===================================================
Subs
===================================================
Fighter 1: Alex Garcia $7300 12379140591570510706dholler_ok_svg_med
Fighter 2: Bobby Nash $9100 
Fighter 3: Gina Mazany $8400 12379140591570510706dholler_ok_svg_med
Fighter 4: 
 
 
 

Kelvin Gastelum -255 vs Michael Bisping +253 12379140591570510706dholler_ok_svg_med

With Gastelum not making weight my interest has diminish significantly to the point that is a No Play for me. I will look at Prop bet and a Counter Bet on Bisping could be in order. Pass.

Draft-Kings-Logo

I am also going to pass on Gastelum from a fantasy perspective. He is expensive and a known commodity which tells me a lot of people will be playing him. If he loses, it will severely cripple the majority of lineups that include him. If he wins, you don’t gain anything on your opponents. Pass.

Li Jingliang -180 vs Zak Ottow +175 12379140591570510706dholler_ok_svg_med

Now I was looking at Ottow as an underdog pick here, but I felt for him to win he will need to step out of comfort zone. Ottow doesn’t have a lot of power, his striking is decent, but I don’t know if he can take Li out. If he can’t, that means he needs to win this fight on the cards in China. He has gone to 3 straight split decisions. That is concerning. I like Li’s aggression and power to go along with a potential takedown here and here. Li can win a decision or by knockout. I have him as a Silver play based on my original concerns.

Draft-Kings-Logo

Li has developed a pretty solid striking attack and Ottow is there to be hit. As I mentioned above, Li will have a chance to win this fight by knockout and if not is aggression will produce points through striking volume and takedowns. Add him to your regular lineup.

Alex Caceres -135 vs Wang Guan +130 

I have heard a lot of chatter about Guan pulling off the upset. I like that, because, from my experience, the trendy dog picks tend to lose. Not always, but often. Caceres’s length and unorthodox style will give a lot of new/ inexperienced fighters problems. Guan lacks a strong mat game which has been a key to beating Alex and his tendency to counter will give Caceres plenty of chances to get off. I also like AC’s experience fighting in enemy territory, he won’t be rattled. I like the odds, Gold Play.

Draft-Kings-Logo

Caceres will also make the cut on my Fantasy team. He offers good volume and has been showing better than perceived power. There is also significant submission potential as Guan appears to be vulnerable if this fight hits the mat. Add him.

Alex Garcia +190 vs Muslim Salikhov -190 12379140591570510706dholler_ok_svg_med

I like the dog here. Salikhov has a record built on first-round stoppages and does in with flashy single-strike techniques. While he is a talented striker, that style starts to become much less effective as you climb the ladder of competition. Garcia has been finished, but it tends to come on the strength a high volume death by accumulation style. While Garcia is far from a cardio horse, his wrestling-heavy approach is going to test Salikhov and force him to fight deep into this contest. I think if Alex can take him down, get beyond round 1, he should find more and more success. Salikhov is an unknown element and I will take a shot at Garcia as  Bronze play.

Draft-Kings-Logo

I have Garcia as a sub. He has stopping skills and takedowns/ top position volume will produce points as well. I had him in my original lineup, but if he gets wiped out in the opening round he could toss up a goose egg.

Sheymon Moraes +450 vs Zabit Magomedsharipov -500 12379140591570510706dholler_ok_svg_med

Run, run, run! Moraes is far better than this line would suggest. If he can land flush, Zabit could be in some serious trouble. No play on ZM, maybe I will consider a Counter Bet on Moraes. No Play.

Draft-Kings-Logo

I’m going to stay away here as well.

Bobby Nash -284 vs Kenan Song +275 

Nash has looked almost good enough to win each of his 2 UFC losses and that will show up here against a reasonable step back in competition. The line isn’t amazing but it is playable in a lower level investment. Silver Play.

Draft-Kings-Logo

Nash is a sub. He fights to finish and has proven over his career he knows how to put opponents away. I would expect him to connect at some point and put an end to Song. Use him for diversity sake.

Kailin Curran +135 vs Yan Xiaonan -140 12379140591570510706dholler_ok_svg_med

I can’t image Curran’s spot on the roster survives this loss. She has been fighting and losing to top name competition, but this is not the case here. That being said, I like Xiaonan to take this one home. Her aggressive striking will hold up well against an opponent that is known to fade. I’ve got her as a Silver play.

Draft-Kings-Logo

While Yan has been a finisher all her career, she has been dealing with lower level opponents which creates some concerns when moving up in competition. That being said, Curran has been finished on multiple occasions and could very well be put away here. This should give you some unique point as I expect most players to overlook an unknown female fighter.

Bharat Kandare +135 vs Yadong Song -140 

Song is young, unproven, and can be taken down. Kandare is similar, but he has a solid wrestling attack that should be able to exploit the vulnerability of Song. There are 8 fights with at least one debuting fighter, this one has 2 which makes it even more unpredictable. Bronze Play.

Draft-Kings-Logo

Kandare is cheap and more importantly, a finish or takedown-heavy performance will produce points. He opens up some cash to be spent elsewhere. Add him to your regular lineup.

Chase Sherman +120 vs Shamil Abdurakhimov -130 

Sherman has impressed me in recent fights and Shamil really hasn’t. He was lucky to beat Harris and struggled against Lewis despite arguably being ahead. SA’s power hasn’t been there in the UFC and his volume isn’t great either. Sherman’s offence has really picked up of late and if he can continue to find success with his low kicks, he should take this fight via knockout or wide decision. I was shocked to see Sherman as a dog, Gold Play.

Draft-Kings-Logo

Sherman is very affordable and has multiple ways to be a strong contributor. SA is no easy out, so I am inclined to think the ever improving striking offence of the American will produce points over a full 15-minutes. If they don’t go 15, and he gets the stoppage that will work too. Add him.

Gina Mazany -115 vs Yanan Wu +125 12379140591570510706dholler_ok_svg_med

This fight could be close right up until the first takedown is scored. I think Mazany gets it and consider this line is almost a coin flip I will go with the fighter that has already fought in the UFC and competed on TUF. I know it’s not a lot to go on, but I will take my shot with these odds here. I see value and have here as Silver play or borderline Gold play. Going on instinct here.

Draft-Kings-Logo

Mazany is a sub. She has shown she can finish, especially on the mat, and Wu can be taken down and kept down. Worth a shot here at an affordable $8400.

Rolando Dy -145 vs Wuliji Buren +145 12379140591570510706dholler_ok_svg_med

Dy has fought decent competition and was very much in his last fight. I can’t say the same for Buren. I was a little shocked at the line here. I had Dy closer to -190 or even higher. As a result of the value here, he is getting a nod in the Gold section.

Draft-Kings-Logo

No Play here.

Cyril Asker -241 vs Hu Yaozong +230 12379140591570510706dholler_ok_svg_med

Last second replacement fighter here. This is the type of fight that Asker should win. Hu is simply not ready for the big stage. Asker takes him down and pounds him out. A playable secondary bet here in the Silver section.

Draft-Kings-Logo

When Asker wins, he finishes his opponents, that should be the case here. Add him to your lineup.

 

1. Chase Sherman +120 

2. Alex Caceres -135 

3. Rolando Dy -145 12379140591570510706dholler_ok_svg_med

4. Bobby Nash -284 

5. Cyril Asker -241 12379140591570510706dholler_ok_svg_med

====================

6. Li Jingliang -180 12379140591570510706dholler_ok_svg_med

7. Kelvin Gastelum -255 12379140591570510706dholler_ok_svg_med

8. Zabit Magomedsharipov -500 12379140591570510706dholler_ok_svg_med

9. Gina Mazany -115 12379140591570510706dholler_ok_svg_med

10.Bharat Kandare +135 

11. Yan Xiaonan -140 12379140591570510706dholler_ok_svg_med

12. Alex Garcia +190 12379140591570510706dholler_ok_svg_med

1. Chase Sherman +120 

2. Bharat Kandare +135 

3. Alex Garcia +190 12379140591570510706dholler_ok_svg_med

4. Gina Mazany -115 12379140591570510706dholler_ok_svg_med

5. Alex Caceres -135 

1. Michael Bisping +253 : If Gastelum fades due to a tough weight cut, Bisping will be all over him.

2. Sheymon Moraes +450 : Moraes is far better than this line would suggest and being a heavy fav in just your 2nd UFC fight could be a little too much too soon. Betting accordingly.

3.

4.

5.

bETTING SCENARIOS

Exclusive Bet Pack Content.

Prop Bets

Li Jingliang to Win by Decision +145 

Ottow has proven to be a tough out, keeping a sound but not overwhelming offensive front. Li can finish, but I see Ottow keeping this fight close and forcing it to the scorecards like he has in all 3 of his previous UFC fights. Take Li at home to get the nod.

Sheymon Moraes/Zabit Magomedsharipov

See the Betting Scenario Section.

Bobby Nash to Win by TKO/KO/DQ +145 

Nash is aggressive and has finished 6 of his 9 wins. He nearly stopped Li early in their fight. He should shine with a step back in competition either standing or via ground and pound.

Kailin Curran/Yan Xiaonan Total Rounds Under 2.5 +157 

Curran has been finished on multiple occasions because she is the type of fighter that doesn’t hold back. This could also result in her getting the finish. Yan is pretty aggressive as well and knows how to finish. I consider a shot at her inside the distance, but I will keep both girls finishing skills in play with the Uner.

Chase Sherman to Win by Decision +260 

SA is vulnerable if taken down, but that isn’t something that Sherman has shown us during his UFC run. His key to victory here will be to outwork Shamil on the feet. I know HW bouts are usually pegged to finish inside the distance, but I feel their respective styles send this fight to the cards with Chase getting the nod. Solid return.

Rolando Dy/Wuliji Buren

See the Betting Scenario Section.

Cyril Asker/Hu Yaozong 12379140591570510706dholler_ok_svg_med

See the Betting Scenario Section.

 

 

KAMIKAZE OVERDRIVE LOGO White