UFC on FOX 26: Lawler vs Dos Anjos- Bet Pack Review

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Depending on your betting style, you can select the Big Bank Roll Parlays which employs a betting strategy focussed on straight and 2-leg parlays that limit the risk and offer a decent return based on your financial commitment. If you are willing to take a little more risk and aren’t interested in putting as much cash in play, but still want a shot at a big return- then the Big Risk/ Big Reward Parlays are for you. Playing both of these strategies together is not recommended.

 

 

 

Draftkings Line up

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Fighter 1: Robbie Lawler $8100 
Fighter 2: Mike Perry $7500 
Fighter 3: Chad Laprise $8200 12379140591570510706dholler_ok_svg_med
Fighter 4: Alessio Di Chirico $7600 12379140591570510706dholler_ok_svg_med
Fighter 5: Ricardo Lamas $9300 
Fighter 6:  Julian Marquez $9100 12379140591570510706dholler_ok_svg_med
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Salary Remaining:
 
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Subs
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Fighter 1: Glover Teixeira $8500 12379140591570510706dholler_ok_svg_med
Fighter 2: Jordan Mein $8500 12379140591570510706dholler_ok_svg_med
Fighter 3: 
Fighter 4: 
 
 
 

Rafael Dos Anjos -105 vs Robbie Lawler +108 

The line is moving quite a bit and for good reason. Both fighters could take this one in a couple of different manners. RDA got a quick win over Magny, but 1 fight earlier I felt he wasn’t awesome against Tarec. Lawler hits hard, too hard for RDA to deal with. My concern is he slows down before he gets a finish or at least 3 rounds, but I will take the dog money here. Silver Play.

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At $8100, Lawler is a solid play. He has power and over 5-rounds he will put up some decent numbers. He averages 71.2 points per fight and has eclipsed the 100-point mark on multiple occasions over 5 rounds. Add him.

Josh Emmett +230 vs Ricardo Lamas -240 

Lamas has beaten everyone outside of the elite. Emmett is not elite. Emmett’s cardio is pretty iffy and the short notice factor isn’t going to help. Lamas is better everywhere and this line should be further apart. Gold Play.

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Lamas hits hard and is a solid submission fighter. He showed against Knight he can put up some solid points against a fighter that starts to slow down. That will be the case here and some of our discounts buys will allow us to buy big on Ricardo. Add him.

Mike Perry +160 vs Santiago Ponzinibbio -165 

This is a fight I want badly. I like Santiago, I’m not a huge fan of Perry- but I have Perry taking this one. When I picked a fighter I don’t like to defeat a fighter that I do like, that tells me a lot. Perry opened around +125 and he and been gaining value as more and more money gets dumped on SP. That is fine with me. Ponzinibbio has a solid track record of wins, but I see Perry offering him something that few of his recent opponents have. Perry will go toe to toe with him and throws just as much power as he does. I love the value here. Top Silver pick.

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“Platinum” Mike has never won by anything other than a knockout and he is a sub $8000 fighter. Ponz has shown himself to be durable, but he has also been knocked out twice. I think Perry does it again here and he is cheap. Add him.

Glover Teixeira +140 vs Misha Cirkunov -150 

This line has flipped significantly with Misha opening around +115 and Glover coming in at -150. Glover is a dangerous fighter and I think he is being overlooked a bit here. That being said, he is 37 and coming off some hellacious wars. Misha’s striking is improving and considering what Volkan has been doing of late, I am not that down on the loss that Cirk suffered. This could be a close fight, but I think the key is Misha’s clinch and grappling attack. Silver Play.

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I will take Misha as a sub. He is affordable, can finish, and Glover has been finished. Use him as a manageable backup.

Jan Blachowicz +155 vs Jared Cannonier -165 

I really like this play. Jan gets a boost from his last win, but I think Cannonier is all sorts of wrong for him. Jared throws hard, is more active, and has better cardio. I also see him being more durable. Unless Jan wrestles him to death and his cardio holds ups better than ever before, Cannonier is a steal at this price. Gold Play.

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I left Cannonier off because Blachowicz is a tough out and I can see his fight going the full 3-rounds.

Darren Stewart +280 vs Julian Marquez -265 12379140591570510706dholler_ok_svg_med

This is a full pass for me. There are so many other options worth looking at that this one isn’t worth your time.

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Now considering Marquez’s finishing skills and Stewart’s track record for gassing, we have the money and reasons to back Julian. I see him getting an early finish. Book it.

Chad Laprise -145 vs Galore Bofando +145 12379140591570510706dholler_ok_svg_med

There is a lot of unknown surrounding Bofando here. He is so unconventional and I just don’t see it working against next level opposition. Laprise is a solid, well-rounded fighter that should be able to exploit the holes in Galore’s game. Bofando had an impressive debut against a less than impressive opponent and that is keeping this line in the spot it is in. Gold Play on Laprise.

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Laprise has sneaky power and carries a decent pace. The potential for points through takedowns is also there. Look for Bofando to slow and Laprise to light him up with volume or a stoppage. Maybe the 2 combined. Add him.

Abel Trujillo -160 vs John Makdessi +170 12379140591570510706dholler_ok_svg_med

Both fighters are a shell of their former selves. Trujillo is a brawler with decent wrestling and Makdessi is a striker with a style that can trouble many opponents. Trujillo seemed to get very discouraged in his last fight and I feel the striking style of Makdessi will reproduce that. Abel tires and John squeaks one out at home. Bronze play.

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Nothing here.

Alessio Di Chirico -115 vs Oluwale Bamgbose +115 12379140591570510706dholler_ok_svg_med

I am utterly shocked with this line. I know Di Chirico hasn’t been lighting the world on fire, but Bamgbose is flawed- very flawed. His gas tank is terrible, his TDD is weak, and he is almost most certainly finished once his opponent starts doing damage from top position. Di Chirico will either outwork him after he tires or take him down on route to a finish or decision. Gold play here.

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At $7600, he is very affordable. When you consider how easily we have seen Oluwale put away, I see a finish coming here for a solid dog play. Add him.

Erick Silva +120 vs Jordan Mein -125 12379140591570510706dholler_ok_svg_med

Talk about wasted potential. Both guys have talent, but they appear to have peaked early and are headed downward. Mein is the more technical striker and he is going to carry his skills deeper into the fight. Silva will gas and he struggles with his cardio. Mein gets a much-needed win. Bronze play.

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Mein can finish and Silva can be finished. That is a pretty solid equation. I have him as a sub at $8500. He needs to show up mentally prepared- that is essential!

Danny Roberts +120 vs Nordine Taleb -125 12379140591570510706dholler_ok_svg_med

This is a very good fight to open the card. I like Taleb to work his wrestling as his key to victory here. Roberts is a good striker, but he will struggle with the pressure and constant push my Taleb to make him fight off his back. This could be a close one, but I will take the local with the strong top game. Silver play.

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I don’t see a finish here, so this is a pass.

 

1. Ricardo Lamas -240 

2. Jared Cannonier -165 

3. Julian Marquez -265 12379140591570510706dholler_ok_svg_med

4. Chad Laprise -145 12379140591570510706dholler_ok_svg_med

5. Alessio Di Chirico -115 12379140591570510706dholler_ok_svg_med

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6. Nordine Taleb -125 12379140591570510706dholler_ok_svg_med

7. Mike Perry +160 

8. Robbie Lawler +108 

9. Misha Cirkunov -150

10. Jordan Mein -125 12379140591570510706dholler_ok_svg_med

11. John Makdessi +170 12379140591570510706dholler_ok_svg_med

1. Mike Perry +160 

2. Robbie Lawler +108 

3. Jared Cannonier -165 

4. John Makdessi +170 12379140591570510706dholler_ok_svg_med

5. Alessio Di Chirico -115 12379140591570510706dholler_ok_svg_med

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bETTING SCENARIOS

Exclusive Bet Pack Content.

Prop Bets

Ricardo Lamas Wins Inside the Distance +225 

Lamas has finished his foe in 3 of his last 4 wins with only the double tough Diego Sanchez taking a beating but refusing to go away. Ricardo is pretty consistent- beat those that he should beat, and do it emphatically. Emmett is coming in on short notice and missed weight which suggests his already average cardio could be further compromised. Lamas to finish at plus money is a solid play.

Mike Perry to Win by TKO/KO/DQ +250 

He has 11 wins. He has 11 knockouts. Ponz is tough, but not unstoppable. He hasn’t faced a legit knockout threat since Larkin, who knocked him out. Perry will either walk him down or land a big counter once Santiago pushes forward. I like this play if you intend to back arguably the most loveable fighter in the UFC.

Jan Blachowicz/Jared Cannonier 

See the Betting Scenario Section.

Darren Stewart/Julian Marquez Total Rounds Under 1.5 -103 12379140591570510706dholler_ok_svg_med

Both guys have power and are very aggressive. I am expecting Stewart to be the fighter on the wrong end of this play, but he is dangerous enough and Marquez is still a relative unknown to play the Total instead of a finish prop. Keep both fighters stopping skills in play here.

Alessio Di Chirico/Oluwale Bamgbose Total Rounds Under 1.5 -127 12379140591570510706dholler_ok_svg_med

Similar to the above play, I want to keep everything in play here. Bamgbose throws power, especially with his head kicks. Di Chirico is more conservative, but Oluwales aggression, gas tank, and lack of a ground game will open him up to getting finished as well. Play the Under.

Erick Silva/Jordan Mein 

See the Betting Scenario Section.

Danny Roberts/Nordine Taleb 

See the Betting Scenario Section.

 

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