UFC 177: Dillashaw vs Soto Predictions- Kamikaze Overdrive MMA
At UFC 177 TJ Dillashaw will join an illustrious group of individuals that include the likes of Chris Weidman, Frankie Edgar, and Matt Serra. Like Dillashaw, these men unseated long reining champions despite their underdog status heading into the bout and were then thrust into a immediate rematch.
Renan Barao will enter the cage this Saturday looking to channel Georges St-Pierre who was able to reclaim his title when he defeated Matt Serra in their Welterweight title rematch, unlike fellow Brazilian Anderson Silva and the recently retired BJ Penn who both came up short in their attempts to recapture their gold.
Barao was a massive favourite in their first fight, but has slid to the role of underdog on account of the one-sided beating that the Alpha Male product put on the ‘Baron’. Will TJ walk away with the gold and start a new chapter in the 135 pound division, or will his stay at the top be rendered a footnote in Barao’s golden career?
The co-main event will feature two Lightweights on the cusp of the top 15. Both Danny Castillo and Tony Ferguson had put together respectable UFC careers, but neither man has been able to break into the upper echelon. The winner of this fight could once again call for that opportunity and take another step up the ranks of the most congested division in the organization.
Also on the main card Bethe Correia battles another member of Ronda’s Rousey’s Four Horsemen in Shayna Baszler. Correia is fresh off a win over Horsemen Jessamyn Duke and a could position herself as a future contender with a victory over the Invicta, Strikeforce and now Ultimate Fighter veteran.
Make sure to check out the latest episode of Kamikaze Overdrive MMA predictions for all of your UFC 177 prediction needs. The prediction panel will be providing their picks, the Kamikaze Overdrive Bet Pack will be available for purchase in the Bet Shop, and the Sprawl n Brawl Fantasy MMA contest is open and ready for your picks. Enjoy the fights!
135lbs- TJ Dillashaw (C) (11-2-0) vs Joe Soto (15-2-0)
With the last second removal of Renan Barao from the main event, former Bellator Featherweight champion and the debuting Joe Soto will step up from the undercard to challenge the Bantamweight champion TJ Dillashaw.
The first scenario that must be looked at is the emotional letdown that the champ will have to battle through with the last second change. The anticipation and build up to facing Renan Barao a second time and putting to rest any thoughts that his first win was a fluke is now gone. Now he must deal with the fact that he has had a complete role reversal since UFC 173 where he was the huge underdog and now he is facing the massive underdog.
For Soto, he isn’t expected to win and should gain significant points with the company or taking this fight and ‘saving’ the card. As a result he will come in loose and willing to leave it all in the cage as he is getting an opportunity that many fighters that have been with the promotion for years haven’t and may never receive. It is almost a guarantee that at some point tomorrow Joe or Goldie will compare Soto to Rocky and talk about him as a massive “Cinderella Story” after returning from a career threatening eye injury.
In the cage, Soto is a vet, a former champion, and riding a six fight winning streak, but he will be simply overmatched. His strong point is his wrestling and TJ should be able to completely nullify that aspect of his game. On the feet, Soto is serviceable but his tendency to cover up and wait for the barrage to pass will cost him at this level. Dillashaw’s striking has made massive strides and that will be the deciding factor in his first official title defense, so my prediction is TJ Dillashaw to defeat Joe Soto by KO.
On a side note, UFC 177 has taken a significant hit with the loss of Barao and the removal of 2 preliminary bouts. It was already struggling with injuries, but the UFC needs to take a long look at how they book their PPV lineups. UFC 178 looks fantastic, but there seems to be more and more cards riding solely on the strength of their main event.
At least one suggestion would be to either have another fight on this card in the same weight class as the main event involving potential challengers, where one of them could move into the main event should it be needed. For example Yuri Alcantara, Alex Caceres, Takeya Mizugaki, and Dominick Cruz are all more viable challengers then Soto and are competing over the next few weeks. Obviously this is easier said then done, but with the ever expanding roster it doesn’t appear to be that difficult does it?
185lbs- #4 Chris Weidman (13-2-0) vs #5 Gegard Mousasi (41-6-2)
Total Votes: 73
145lbs- Myles Jury (15-2-0) vs Mike De La Torre (14-6-0 1NC)
Total Votes: 64
155lbs- Will Brooks (18-2-0) vs Charles Oliveira (21-7-0 1NC)
Total Votes: 58
170lbs- #11 Kamaru Usman (9-1-0) vs Sean Strickland (18-1-0)
Total Votes: 64
155lbs- Gregor Gillespie (8-0-0) vs Andrew Holbrook (12-1-0)
Total Votes: 53
145lbs- Shane Burgos (8-0-0) vs Charles Rosa (11-2-0)
Total Votes: 58
135lbs- TJ Dillashaw (C) vs Renan Barao
155lbs- Tony Ferguson vs Danny Castillo
135lbs- Bethe Correia vs Shayna Baszler
155lbs- Ramsey Nijem vs Carlos Diego Ferreira
155lbs- Yancy Medeiros vs Damon Jackson
185lbs- Lorenz Larkin vs Derek Brunson
125lbs- Scott Jorgensen vs Henry Cejudo
265lbs- Ruan Potts vs Anthony Hamilton
135lbs- Joe Soto vs Anthony Birchak
155lbs- Chris Wade vs Cain Carrizosa