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Kamikaze Overdrive
UFC on FOX 15: 6-5-0

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UFC 186: Johnson vs. Horiguchi odds - BestFightOdds
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Ovince St. Preux $2.10 vs Patrick Cummins $1.83

I went back and forth on this one. OSP is the better MMA fighter, but Cummins's wrestling is the superior single skill set. I think that makes the difference. OSP has improved his defensive wrestling, but Cummins should be able to break through it. One of my biggest concerns is that OSP continues to train at his home camp. He would most likely benefit from going out and working at other locations and experience things that staying at his home base will not. If OSP stays vertical this is his fight to win, but if Cummins gets him down early, he will grind him into the mat and tire him out. Cummins will most likely slip to a Silver play simply because he still quite green an trying to improve his striking attack.

Tim Means/ George Sullivan Total Rounds Over 2.5 $1.51

These guys have significant knockout numbers, both in the double digits. But they have also proven themselves difficult to finish. They have a combined 13 decisions and Means has gone the distance in 5 of his 7 UFC bouts. Additionally, they both have an average fight times of over 11 minutes, which isn't quite putting them in the Over 2.5 range, but it does take the edge of their lofty knockout totals. Submissions have accounted for 4 of their combined 5 defeats inside the distance- an area that neither man excels in. Means does damage, but Sullivan sticks around and gets the Over.

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